How Latin America Can Turn Scattered Quantum Strength Into Scale
Dr. Kris Naudts, Zeynep Koruturk (Founding & Managing Partners) & Donald Harmitt (Associate) at Firgun Ventures.
Global public and private investment in quantum science has now surpassed $65.9 billion, yet more than 150 countries still have no national quantum strategy. The capital stays concentrated in North America, Europe and East Asia, forming what is now called the quantum divide. Latin America has spent most of the current Quantum era as a spectator, watching capability and capital accumulate elsewhere. Against that backdrop the Latin American region has begun to move with more intent than its low profile suggests, building capability across computing, communications and sensing, and framing the effort as a matter of sovereignty rather than consumption. However, the reoccurring obstacle impacting progress is fragmentation, real scientific depth spread thinly across a dozen national programmes that rarely coordinate, at a moment when scale decides who stays relevant in quantum.
Brazil And Chile Pull Ahead Of A Two-Tier Region
Two countries have separated from the field, and they lead in different currencies. Brazil has the region’s largest quantum ecosystem, bringing capital and infrastructure, with a broad research base and a national push under the Brazilian Initiative for Quantum Technologies (IBQuântica). The initiative is aiming for a R$5 billion (roughly $1 billion) build-out by 2034 and Brazil’s first formal quantum-focused strategy is expected later in 2026. Chile has taken an alternative route and leads on policy, its National Quantum Technologies Strategy 2025-2035 standing as the region's only dedicated ten-year framework, pitched as a move from an extractive economy and naming mining, energy and telecommunications as first adopters. Brazilian scale and Chilean coordination are the two ingredients a mature ecosystem would need to combine, and nothing currently exists to facilitate this.
Below them sit countries that own niches rather than the whole stack. Mexico and Argentina carry deeper scientific capability than their commercial ecosystems suggest, the former in atomic sensing and photonics, the latter in superconducting circuits and materials, and both risk remaining research suppliers if translation funding fails to materialise. Uruguay is the instructive small specialist, its cybersecurity strategy among the first in the region to explicitly name the quantum threat through drafting a National Cybersecurity Strategy 2024-2030. Alongside this, Quantum South, spun out of Uruguay’s University of Montevideo, became the first Latin American member of the IBM Quantum Network in 2022. That same entrepreneurial thread runs north to Bogotá, Colombia, where Spin Quantum Tech has been developing quantum-era encryption and simulation algorithms since 2018. The Latin America second tier quantum regions hold pockets of excellence rarely funded to the point of turning a research paper into a commercial product.
Communications Reaches Production While Sensing Waits
The one place quantum technology has crossed from laboratory to production is secure communications, and for practical reasons, being the cheapest pillar to enter and riding on existing fibre with immediate buyers in finance, energy and defence. Brazil's work is arguably the most advanced in this domain, with metropolitan quantum key distribution testbeds in Rio, while results published in April 2026, include a Recife demonstration carrying quantum signals across kilometres of urban fibre using dedicated dark-fibre strands within the city’s existing telecommunications infrastructure. Meanwhile, Chile has the region's only real hardware exporter in SeQure Quantum, which in May 2026 secured a quantum-safe link between the national electricity coordinator and a market operator.
Sensing may be the strongest opportunity, and it is the one often overlooked. The practical problems it addresses run through much of Latin America’s economy. Chilean and Peruvian copper and lithium, Brazil’s deep offshore hydrocarbons trapped beneath pre-salt basins, and Amazonian monitoring are the problems quantum gravimeters are built for, and sensors can reach useful deployment without waiting for fault-tolerant machines. Yet commercial activity is close to non-existent, and the assumption that mineral wealth converts into a quantum industry is not a robust one. Owning niobium, of which Brazil supplied 92% of world concentrate in 2024, covered in more detail in Dr. Kris Naudts’, “Quantum Computers Are Coming - Here's How Global Supply Chains May Shape Their Future” piece, might seem like a strong competitive advantage, but commanding the raw material is only a starting point. It is a necessary condition for building the technology that depends on it, not a substitute for the capability to do the building. Hardware demands specialised fabrication, ultra-pure materials and extreme cooling, so possession alone offers little advantage, and this is where the gap between potential demand and domestic capability is greatest.
Four Processor Programmes That Might Be One
The coordination problem grows starkest when the domestic-processor efforts are set side by side. Chile's Project Quantü has been establishing the first universal quantum computer made in Chile, a neutral-atom platform, since January 2026. Argentina's QUANTEC group at the Bariloche Atomic Centre is developing fluxonium qubits, aiming first for four to six, Colombia has begun designing a home-built processor with the Universidad del Valle, and Brazil has been pursuing prototype chips and is due to receive imported Chinese systems later in 2026. Four countries are running four separate programmes, all clustered at different points over the last 7 years, none structurally talking to the others, and each starting near scratch on the most capital-intensive layer while chasing the same scarce talent. A region with roughly the budget of one mid-sized European programme is splitting it four ways to build four sub-scale machines. However, the same capital behind one effort offers the opportunity to clear the threshold of funding relevance and offer a combined regional approach to competing with the Western superpowers in the quantum race.
Africa offers the comparison that should give the region pause, having faced the same risk of scattered efforts and chosen to answer it collectively. In 2025 the continent stood up a formal pan-continental quantum consortium and an alliance, mechanisms to pool researchers, infrastructure and funding across borders so its scientists could pursue shared goals rather than parallel ones. The significance lies in the decision itself, because Africa built the coordinating body Latin America still lacks, keeping resources from splintering into sub-scale programmes.
China Is Arriving Before The West
One of the region's most consequential projects also captures its greatest dilemma. The International Centre for Quantum Computing in Paraiba, Brazil is due to receive Chinese-supplied systems of 20 and 100 qubits in August 2026, with Brazilian researchers training in China through mid-2026 and assembly due in October. Public reporting links the Chinese project partner, the Yangtze River Delta Industrial Innovation Center for Quantum Technology, to CETC’s 54th Research Institute, which is in the U.S. Commerce Department’s Entity List. Parent CETC, a Chinese-state electronics group, is separately subject to US restrictions on securities investment. Washington has built an apparatus to make such arrangements costly, through imposing controls on specified quantum equipment, components, software and technology, alongside restrictions on certain U.S. investments involving covered Chinese quantum entities and China-linked joint ventures. A Chinese-supplied installation is therefore not geopolitically neutral, and it could narrow which Western capital, hardware and software can join that facility later. A non-Chinese commercial channel is emerging through the March 2025 partnership between Japan’s NTT DATA and Germany's Kipu Quantum, founded by Enrique Solano, aimed at the Ibero-American industry. Publicly documented implementations remain limited but include a Peruvian proof of concept with Komatsu-Mitsui using quantum machine learning to predict failures in electric-shovel cables, in July 2026. Courted from both directions, the region will find that the supplier choices it makes now shape who it can work with for a decade.
Turning Scattered Strength Into A Regional Position
The raw materials of a credible quantum sector are already in place, with strong physics, live communications deployments and natural laboratories for sensing that can compete against the most advanced regions. The vital bottleneck is the absence of any mechanism to pool either across borders. A region that coordinated its processor ambitions, wrote a shared migration plan before its banks were nudged to, and treated its copper, lithium and fault lines as sensing assets to be commercialised rather than commodities to be shipped would look very different in five years from one running fragmented, sub-scale efforts. Quantum technology will ultimately reward whoever reaches meaningful scale first. Latin America has the ingredients to become a prominent global player with quantum, but it will likely require a shift towards pooling resources and building together.
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